Pronnos
0xdd3a77bbc71198851073c6b5fb5bc281e226c887
- Realised P&L
- $-114.08
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.570 | $1.43 | −$0.38 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No | 0.650 | 0.520 | $0.69 | −$0.17 |
| Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.15at 0.080Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
- +$-0.27at 0.022Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.01at 0.610Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.38at 0.170Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?
- +$-1.84at 0.770Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 20:22 | Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 09-25 15:50 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.19 |
| 09-25 05:18 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.52 | $20.11 |
| 09-24 06:32 | Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-24 06:29 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? | SELL | 0.301 | $18.06 |
| 09-22 14:03 | Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.85 |
| 09-22 14:02 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $14.72 |
| 09-22 12:44 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-22 07:44 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-21 05:52 | Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 09-20 21:57 | Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | SELL | 0.088 | $0.44 |
| 09-18 08:10 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | SELL | 0.601 | $30.05 |
| 09-17 17:33 | Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.37 |
| 09-17 11:48 | Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? | SELL | 0.15 | $8.25 |
| 09-14 17:35 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | SELL | 0.127 | $4.99 |