PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Euan

0xdd225a03cd7ed89e3931906c67c75ab31cf89ef1

Realised P&L
$469.2k
Volume
$48.57M
Markets traded
2,364
Open portfolio
$285.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,364
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.870$243.5k+$103.5k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.131$36.5k$103.5k
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.996$4.2k+$659.14
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.7610.520$815.57$378.42
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0420.043$696.80+$27.57
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3230.085$156.42$437.25
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6950.645$37.87$2.96
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$808.93
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23? · No0.5000.000$0.00$2.8k
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · FUT Esports0.3400.000$0.00$1.8k
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Iron Wing0.4000.000$0.00$8.9k
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Liquid0.3700.000$0.00$4.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 21:25Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.33$280.74
08-26 14:23Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6954420031$40.83
08-26 14:22Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3177754115$307.38
08-25 13:31Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.84$1.7k
08-25 13:29Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.73$363.53
08-24 11:21Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.7428571429$260.00
08-23 22:54Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.7918460065$570.46
08-23 14:32Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSELL0.27$55.69
08-23 13:48Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.34$15.1k
08-21 06:52Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.48$248.06
08-20 20:47Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.41$10.25
08-20 20:46Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.41$2.3k
08-18 22:31Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.281$1.41
08-18 22:12Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.189$0.95
08-18 21:46Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.195$30.54