PolyBot

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Traders

madmartigan5

0xdd153625e111a496d372dfb7d7a69d4330324a07

Realised P&L
$9.5k
Volume
$1.49M
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$25.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? · Yes0.4860.996$8.3k+$4.3k
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.2070.065$2.8k$6.1k
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.4431.000$1.7k+$928.48
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5400.545$1.6k+$14.90
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.3080.998$1.4k+$971.40
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.655$1.3k+$70.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5230.575$1.3k+$113.88
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0560.064$1.2k+$135.03
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3480.335$962.30$37.06
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$956.79$978.57
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4300.395$790.00$70.00
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.013$612.47+$24.51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.3500.325$592.78$45.60
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0260.025$500.98$30.65
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0330.033$491.25$12.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:21Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.09$475.48
09-16 19:07Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?SELL0.9811674718$434.66
09-16 11:53Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0558641116$110.87
09-16 11:46Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0528638249$221.40
09-16 10:44Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0934421596$335.08
09-16 10:44Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0928807772$809.24
09-16 10:44Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0793586165$50.04
09-16 10:42Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0872058917$1.6k
09-16 10:38Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0812370167$223.45
09-16 10:38Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0912662631$834.42
09-16 09:16Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0945823642$48.63
09-16 09:15Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0871338263$175.22
09-16 09:15Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0801817091$512.76
09-15 18:43Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.35$638.38
09-15 18:43Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.35$25.39