PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

f2kus

0xdcf85d11be9d97084765d7b76db8989c78e693c6

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$1.90M
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$481.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.011$89.43+$19.44
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$50.94−$80.05
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.005$36.05−$36.05
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.005$30.55−$25.00
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$27.22−$35.00
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.003$23.33−$31.11
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$21.66−$64.99
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$20.95−$37.70
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$15.00−$54.99
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$13.89−$19.44
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$13.33−$57.77
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$12.08−$15.53
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$11.67−$35.00
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$11.67−$35.00
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.003$11.11−$24.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 08:27Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.28$280.00
10-24 20:27Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.31$310.00
08-12 22:31Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0066331985$31.86
08-12 22:06National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon NakashimaBUY0.7$50.00
08-11 16:19Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP MontrealBUY0.22$3.30
08-11 16:19National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur FilsBUY0.58$100.34
07-30 17:29Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$4.41
07-30 17:29Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$22.89
07-30 17:28Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$62.22
07-30 17:28Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$54.44
07-30 17:28Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$14.39
07-30 17:28Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$28.66
07-30 17:27Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$46.66
07-30 17:27Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$55.55
07-30 17:27Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$44.44