0xdce754f11c3d3c84d4c6be7e00f9be390b218bcf
0xdce754f11c3d3c84d4c6be7e00f9be390b218bcf
- Realised P&L
- $-34.91
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $58.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.56at 0.763Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?
- +$1.44at 0.850US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.43at 0.767Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$1.35at 0.411Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.08at 0.742Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 08:17 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 07:47 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 07:47 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 07:47 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $0.12 |
| 11-01 11:34 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.942 | $0.27 |
| 11-01 06:58 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.934 | $0.39 |
| 10-31 22:42 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.951 | $0.02 |
| 10-31 20:25 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.17 |
| 10-31 20:25 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.17 |
| 10-31 19:08 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.10 |
| 10-31 19:08 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.32 |
| 10-31 19:08 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.32 |
| 10-27 20:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.97 |
| 10-27 20:35 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.02 |