PolyBot

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Traders

0xdce754f11c3d3c84d4c6be7e00f9be390b218bcf

0xdce754f11c3d3c84d4c6be7e00f9be390b218bcf

Realised P&L
$-34.91
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$58.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · No0.6900.725$5.09+$0.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9600.970$5.02+$0.05
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9840.968$4.83−$0.08
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9240.953$4.45+$0.14
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9500.920$4.37−$0.14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.964$4.07+$0.23
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.9760.854$3.68−$0.53
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.930$3.57+$0.04
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9500.970$3.49+$0.07
Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? · Yes0.9970.660$3.29−$1.68
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9880.945$2.77−$0.13
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.992$2.47−$0.02
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election? · No0.7800.800$2.44+$0.06
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8900.956$2.09+$0.14
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election? · No0.8900.955$2.03+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 08:17Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$0.01
11-02 07:47Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.02
11-02 07:47Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.02
11-02 07:47Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.08
11-01 22:03Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.975$0.12
11-01 11:34Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.942$0.27
11-01 06:58Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.934$0.39
10-31 22:42Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.951$0.02
10-31 20:25Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$0.17
10-31 20:25Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$0.17
10-31 19:08Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.10
10-31 19:08Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.32
10-31 19:08Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.32
10-27 20:40Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.96$4.97
10-27 20:35Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.17$0.02