0x7F3cA9D2E1b6F48A4dB0C9E5aOf7B31D8e6C4A91
0xdcd28b399f1643df577ed313d1ff6ba4ef2187c9
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $730.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,867
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,867
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.88at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?
- +$397.48at 0.007Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$232.19at 0.475Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$196.14at 0.002Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 2?
- +$180.00at 0.100Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-02 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 08-02 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.632 | $6.32 |
| 07-27 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 07-27 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-27 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 27? | BUY | 0.0584 | $2.92 |
| 07-26 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 07-26 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 07-26 10:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 07-25 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 07-25 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.08 |
| 07-25 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-25 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 07-25 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.97 | $31.03 |
| 07-25 08:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |