PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7F3cA9D2E1b6F48A4dB0C9E5aOf7B31D8e6C4A91

0xdcd28b399f1643df577ed313d1ff6ba4ef2187c9

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$730.7k
Markets traded
4,867
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,867
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$3.2k+$1.2k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$830.00$1.2k
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0100.006$3.25$1.75
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.100$1.00+$0.30
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0140.015$0.64+$0.06
Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0040.004$0.45+$0.05
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.029$0.14+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 5? · No0.6000.000$0.00$30.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$2.80
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 Corners · Over0.3270.000$0.00$42.49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 16? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 7? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.50
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9210.000$0.00$276.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:05Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2?BUY0.65$6.50
08-02 08:53Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 2?BUY0.68$6.80
08-02 08:50Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 2?BUY0.632$6.32
07-27 20:03Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27?BUY0.32$1.60
07-27 19:47Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27?BUY0.27$2.70
07-27 19:47Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 27?BUY0.0584$2.92
07-26 10:37Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26?BUY0.28$1.40
07-26 10:37Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26?BUY0.25$1.25
07-26 10:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.77$3.85
07-25 19:20Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 25?BUY0.46$2.30
07-25 13:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?BUY0.12$4.08
07-25 12:59Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 25?BUY0.08$4.00
07-25 10:00Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?BUY0.31$15.50
07-25 09:36Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 25?BUY0.97$31.03
07-25 08:23Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?BUY0.07$2.10
Trader 0x7F3cA9D2E1b6F48A4dB0C9E5aOf7B31D8e6C4A91 · PolyBot