PolyBot

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Traders

0xdccf14d4c5eb10b56b232038ae2a69ef124cf62d

Realised P&L
$-136.40
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$3.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.4500.625$1.39+$0.39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1640.117$0.71$0.29
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$0.55$0.45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0830.040$0.48$0.52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5900.245$0.42$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 09:04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3849999888$8.08
07-12 09:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1899999569$3.00
07-12 09:03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.199$2.57
07-12 09:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.189$9.49
07-08 06:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1869999667$3.78
07-08 06:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1869999642$3.83
07-08 06:38Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.328$6.56
06-05 11:10SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
06-01 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
05-30 14:47Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.47$2.66
05-30 14:46Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.53$5.05
05-23 07:21Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
05-13 18:13Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
05-06 12:13Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.0919688226$4.00
05-06 12:11Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.0899999845$5.00