PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdccf14d4c5eb10b56b232038ae2a69ef124cf62d

Realised P&L
$-136.27
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$3.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.4501.000$2.22+$1.22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0830.039$0.47$0.53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1640.075$0.46$0.54
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.1000.038$0.39$0.61
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5900.080$0.13$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 09:04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3849999888$8.08
07-12 09:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1899999569$3.00
07-12 09:03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.199$2.57
07-12 09:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.189$9.49
07-08 06:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1869999667$3.78
07-08 06:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1869999642$3.83
07-08 06:38Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.328$6.56
06-05 11:10SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
06-01 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
05-30 14:47Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.47$2.66
05-30 14:46Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.53$5.05
05-23 07:21Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
05-13 18:13Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
05-06 12:13Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.0919688226$4.00
05-06 12:11Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.0899999845$5.00