simulation
0xdca61aafe9e66947853238895bc68935a7b88b68
- Realised P&L
- $-702.21
- Volume
- $340.4k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $4.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.38at 0.063Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-9.15at 0.025Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-28.13at 0.045Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$-48.62at 0.024Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 06:14 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $9.29 |
| 08-18 23:09 | Spencer Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-18 23:07 | Spencer Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 08-01 16:05 | Will Spencer Jones win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.0070422535 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 18:26 | Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.02 |
| 03-16 04:45 | Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0054998218 | $1.80 |
| 03-16 02:30 | Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 02:30 | Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 02:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1369999777 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 02:12 | Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001590995 | $2.00 |
| 03-16 02:11 | Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.075999977 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 02:10 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0364531904 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 02:10 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.216901386 | $7.00 |
| 01-30 07:52 | Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.58 |
| 01-30 07:47 | Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.23 |