PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

simulation

0xdca61aafe9e66947853238895bc68935a7b88b68

Realised P&L
$-702.21
Volume
$340.4k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$4.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0190.005$3.13$8.76
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.004$0.79$0.80
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.002$0.41$1.79
Will Spencer Jones win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0050.001$0.30$3.03
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$13.58
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.02
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$28.78
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.80
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$16.40
Spencer Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.1140.000$0.00$3.08
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$6.90
Spencer Jones: Home Runs O/U 1.5 · Over0.0160.000$0.00$1.78
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$4.00
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 06:14Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.019$9.29
08-18 23:09Spencer Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.1$0.50
08-18 23:07Spencer Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.09$0.45
08-01 16:05Will Spencer Jones win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.0070422535$1.00
04-09 18:26Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.002$2.02
03-16 04:45Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.0054998218$1.80
03-16 02:30Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$1.00
03-16 02:30Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.004$1.00
03-16 02:14Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.1369999777$5.00
03-16 02:12Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001590995$2.00
03-16 02:11Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.075999977$3.00
03-16 02:10Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0364531904$3.00
03-16 02:10Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.216901386$7.00
01-30 07:52Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?BUY0.005$4.58
01-30 07:47Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$1.23