PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdC794a39bC89882e7e3Ce813ff1e8b3a40a2021d-1769628192828

0xdc794a39bc89882e7e3ce813ff1e8b3a40a2021d

Realised P&L
$204.14
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$123.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.325$112.07+$12.07
Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2800.230$8.21−$1.79
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.2700.055$2.75−$10.75
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:26Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-07 20:44Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999993$100.00
05-30 18:55Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.75$28.30
05-30 15:27Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
05-16 19:49Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.0783224448$20.64
05-05 16:33Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0349999935$5.00
05-03 11:25Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.044$2.29
03-10 18:06Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
03-08 22:04Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0595178996$10.00
03-07 20:05Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0608687363$10.00
02-28 07:23US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.986$303.58
02-18 22:17US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
02-18 21:49US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
02-18 21:44US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.25$15.00
02-18 19:08US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?SELL0.5181312618$35.68