Wrajitoru185
0xdc6dbaed39b7faffd62f3a7960bfa7f75fd410fa
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $452.4k
- Markets traded
- 906
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded906
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.498Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.5kat 0.400Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- +$2.5kat 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.849Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
- +$1.2kat 0.421MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 10:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 09-30 03:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $171.77 |
| 09-30 03:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 09-29 19:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $113.58 |
| 09-29 19:46 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 09-23 13:19 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6 | $145.21 |
| 09-18 17:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 09-16 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.47 | $97.62 |
| 09-13 10:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.78 | $159.67 |
| 09-10 04:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $110.54 |
| 09-07 08:08 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | BUY | 0.57 | $119.69 |
| 06-16 18:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.81 | $729.00 |
| 06-15 09:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.118089153 | $75.50 |
| 06-15 05:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1559999988 | $99.74 |
| 06-14 11:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1159999965 | $28.00 |