Wrajitoru185
0xdc6dbaed39b7faffd62f3a7960bfa7f75fd410fa
- Realised P&L
- $15.0k
- Volume
- $442.8k
- Markets traded
- 861
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded861
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.602 | 0.745 | $3.7k | +$715.00 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.505 | $252.50 | +$27.50 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.101 | $150.75 | −$44.25 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No | 0.400 | 0.375 | $115.26 | −$7.68 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.490 | 0.455 | $45.50 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.498Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.5kat 0.396Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- +$2.5kat 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.849Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
- +$1.2kat 0.413MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 18:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.81 | $729.00 |
| 06-15 09:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.118089153 | $75.50 |
| 06-15 05:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1559999988 | $99.74 |
| 06-14 11:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1159999965 | $28.00 |
| 06-14 08:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 06-10 18:50 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4 | $122.95 |
| 06-07 12:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4199999989 | $200.00 |
| 06-06 08:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2092765801 | $232.88 |
| 06-04 21:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.4k |
| 06-04 03:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | BUY | 0.221 | $110.06 |
| 06-04 03:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3375250377 | $176.93 |
| 06-04 02:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2939166437 | $21.30 |
| 06-03 20:46 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.6454974059 | $200.00 |
| 06-03 20:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | BUY | 0.2902177676 | $396.98 |
| 06-03 20:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.05 |