PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

altplum

0xdc68d9394a5c371bec93fef4ec24171836432885

Realised P&L
$-7.29
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$27.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.745$26.61+$1.61
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)? · Yes0.0100.006$0.65−$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$7.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$12.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 00:21Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?BUY0.01$1.00
10-20 00:13Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6999999944$25.00
03-25 22:26Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSELL0.6844952381$21.56
03-25 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5$15.50
03-25 22:20Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.5899999712$7.77
03-25 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.5099999566$1.94
03-25 22:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.55$0.97
03-25 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.5$3.88
03-25 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.3799999468$1.94
03-25 21:55Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.52$0.97
02-22 19:36US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.549999956$5.00
02-22 19:32Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7599998541$5.00
02-22 19:00Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
02-22 18:58Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
02-22 18:58Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.91$5.00