altplum
0xdc68d9394a5c371bec93fef4ec24171836432885
- Realised P&L
- $-7.29
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $27.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.745 | $26.61 | +$1.61 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.00at 0.240Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?
- +$39.62at 0.620Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?
- +$39.61at 0.576SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?
- +$30.65at 0.246Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
- +$26.68at 0.450Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 00:21 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 00:13 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999944 | $25.00 |
| 03-25 22:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.6844952381 | $21.56 |
| 03-25 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $15.50 |
| 03-25 22:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999712 | $7.77 |
| 03-25 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $1.94 |
| 03-25 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $0.97 |
| 03-25 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.88 |
| 03-25 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $1.94 |
| 03-25 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.97 |
| 02-22 19:36 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 19:32 | Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7599998541 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 19:00 | Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 18:58 | Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 18:58 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |