0xDc3CbAbeF0e4B0a64624d81BE42D014d7f6F759B-1768306409367
0xdc3cbabef0e4b0a64624d81be42d014d7f6f759b
- Realised P&L
- $902.33
- Volume
- $179.2k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $855.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.115 | $431.25 | +$131.25 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.205 | $225.50 | +$16.50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.115 | $104.55 | +$4.55 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.541 | 0.573 | $93.16 | +$5.16 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.080 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.394 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.618 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$122.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.548Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$662.33at 0.402Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$289.00at 0.634Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$268.38at 0.636Timberwolves vs. 76ers
- +$209.99at 0.550Magic vs. Pelicans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 05:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 05:38 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 08:19 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6359996133 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:20 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6359999966 | $30.00 |
| 08-27 15:03 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.647999983 | $11.00 |
| 08-14 01:50 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5869999904 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 12:01 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4609999985 | $40.00 |
| 07-23 03:25 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.19 | $209.00 |
| 07-23 03:24 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.08 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 03:13 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 07-14 16:16 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 07-14 16:15 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 07-14 15:15 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.39 | $393.98 |