0xdc1fCCFe2444d44aDD3951840b518D12423Fd243-1775492222936
0xdc1fccfe2444d44add3951840b518d12423fd243
- Realised P&L
- $-52.26
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $13.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.635 | $6.06 | −$0.52 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.265 | $4.32 | −$1.55 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.080 | $1.16 | −$3.35 |
| Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.570 | $1.16 | −$0.84 |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.075 | $0.85 | −$3.66 |
| Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 40% or more? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $0.40 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.71at 0.033Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$18.69at 0.102Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$8.76at 0.472Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.00at 0.481Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$7.24at 0.632Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:43 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999808 | $4.51 |
| 09-14 08:43 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.51 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $4.39 |
| 09-14 02:52 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999902 | $5.87 |
| 09-14 02:52 | US recession by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999916 | $6.58 |
| 09-14 02:52 | What will be the next Fed rate change? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.58 |
| 09-13 13:52 | Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-13 13:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.43 |
| 09-13 13:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | SELL | 0.988 | $9.19 |
| 09-13 13:49 | Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman? | SELL | 0.0044368385 | $0.46 |
| 09-13 13:49 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.36 |
| 09-13 03:07 | Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman? | BUY | 0.0405241888 | $6.16 |
| 09-13 03:06 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $14.72 |
| 09-13 02:29 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.66 |
| 09-13 02:29 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.49 | $3.59 |