PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdc1fCCFe2444d44aDD3951840b518D12423Fd243-1775492222936

0xdc1fccfe2444d44add3951840b518d12423fd243

Realised P&L
$-52.26
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$13.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2027? · No0.6900.635$6.06$0.52
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? · Yes0.3600.265$4.32$1.55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3100.080$1.16$3.35
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9800.570$1.16$0.84
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes0.4000.075$0.85$3.66
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 40% or more? · Yes0.1100.105$0.40$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 08:43Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3099999808$4.51
09-14 08:43Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?BUY0.4$4.51
09-14 08:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ETBUY0.16$4.39
09-14 02:52Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?BUY0.3599999902$5.87
09-14 02:52US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.6899999916$6.58
09-14 02:52What will be the next Fed rate change?BUY0.96$6.58
09-13 13:52Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?SELL0.002$0.10
09-13 13:50Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.22$1.43
09-13 13:50Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?SELL0.988$9.19
09-13 13:49Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?SELL0.0044368385$0.46
09-13 13:49Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$7.36
09-13 03:07Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?BUY0.0405241888$6.16
09-13 03:06Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.002$14.72
09-13 02:29Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.13$6.66
09-13 02:292026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.49$3.59