PolyBot

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Traders

0xdC17961132CbE21A95BE99287AE08E4a1681c4AB-1773261094450

0xdc17961132cbe21a95be99287ae08e4a1681c4ab

Realised P&L
$-494.24
Volume
$65.8k
Markets traded
716
Open portfolio
$15.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded716
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2? · No0.9841.000$8.75+$0.14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8500.965$5.67+$0.67
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75−$0.25
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? · Yes0.0600.043$0.41−$0.17
Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat? · Yes0.0670.033$0.32−$0.33
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00−$2.53
Northwestern vs. Oregon · Northwestern0.6200.000$0.00−$4.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 10:09Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2?BUY0.984$8.61
11-01 11:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?BUY0.78$3.90
11-01 00:38Ohio State vs. USCBUY0.65$5.46
10-31 21:06Northwestern vs. OregonBUY0.62$4.96
10-31 03:00Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$2.50
10-30 06:42Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 30?BUY0.73$7.30
10-30 00:07Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5BUY0.44$2.53
10-29 10:23Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 29?BUY0.9390010541$4.70
10-28 19:32Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
10-24 23:45Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?BUY0.9$9.99
10-10 13:29Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10?BUY0.66$3.96
10-10 08:56Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.978$4.89
10-08 11:16Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8?BUY0.2$1.00
10-05 11:22Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0149999999$1.00
10-05 11:22Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.001$1.00