smlptm
0xdc15c170015bb7fa3bda49ae394341284877cca6
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $225.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,164
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,164
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$462.15at 0.153Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?
- +$356.25at 0.648Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$290.11at 0.132Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?
- +$264.34at 0.246Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?
- +$251.84at 0.299Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 05:39 | Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.90 |
| 07-29 20:15 | Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-29 07:26 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.805 | $64.40 |
| 07-27 19:39 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.99 | $136.62 |
| 07-06 22:38 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 7? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |