PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smlptm

0xdc15c170015bb7fa3bda49ae394341284877cca6

Realised P&L
$-7.5k
Volume
$224.9k
Markets traded
1,164
Open portfolio
$790.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,164
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · No0.7760.935$89.76+$15.22
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1800.997$60.69+$49.73
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · No0.6000.881$44.08+$14.07
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.6300.475$40.38$13.18
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? · No0.7100.895$36.70+$7.59
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5600.640$35.20+$4.40
Will Frances Tiafoe Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes0.2300.893$33.95+$25.21
Will Arthur Fils Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes0.3300.840$33.60+$20.40
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.2000.660$33.00+$23.00
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.7400.750$29.23+$0.39
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? · No0.5900.810$25.92+$7.04
James Comey charges dropped by December 31? · Yes0.6800.355$24.14$22.10
Will Novak Djokovic Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · No0.3200.859$24.05+$15.09
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.2000.215$18.49+$1.29
Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.3800.700$18.20+$8.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 05:39Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?SELL0.03$0.90
07-29 20:15Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.999$19.98
07-29 07:26Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.805$64.40
07-27 19:39Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?SELL0.99$136.62
07-06 22:38Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 7?BUY0.51$5.10