MadAbyss
0xdc15b96996d897fb5a1b50a37a979baf39dec33d
- Realised P&L
- $-17.49
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $103.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.875 | $87.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.986 | 0.997 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.022 | $6.08 | −$3.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.48at 0.110Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$16.07at 0.389Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$15.57at 0.494Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala
- +$14.58at 0.125Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$7.06at 0.824Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 02:39 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | SELL | 0.9705594686 | $106.65 |
| 07-20 05:03 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 14:12 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999411 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 17:38 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 17:37 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 17:31 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0420000004 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 17:29 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 15:19 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.3809445626 | $23.29 |
| 07-12 15:29 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 15:20 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:10 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.10 |
| 07-11 22:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.0525 | $0.30 |
| 07-11 21:32 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 15:34 | Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 15:33 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |