dashtrump
0xdc0bd4c54ca4bcbefaa3e5f5d1ae2f7609c34c49
- Realised P&L
- $169.33
- Volume
- $28.1k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $432.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $99.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.935 | $93.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $76.58 | +$0.35 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No | 0.910 | 0.990 | $59.37 | +$4.77 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? · No | 0.993 | 0.998 | $49.88 | +$0.23 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.949 | 0.966 | $28.97 | +$0.51 |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20? · No | 0.960 | 0.981 | $24.51 | +$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.50at 0.458Tigers vs. Mariners
- +$50.86at 0.745Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?
- +$50.13at 0.750Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 22?
- +$41.26at 0.750Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 22?
- +$10.95at 0.910Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 08:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $76.23 |
| 09-13 08:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 09-13 08:11 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-13 08:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-13 08:01 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-11 10:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.975 | $29.25 |
| 09-03 12:26 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.949 | $28.46 |
| 08-29 06:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 08-29 06:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C or below on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $21.78 |
| 08-29 06:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $74.33 |
| 08-29 04:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C or below on August 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $63.96 |
| 08-29 03:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $21.78 |
| 08-29 03:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $21.78 |
| 08-29 03:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.984 | $78.72 |
| 08-29 03:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $26.71 |