PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SwissMiss

0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95

Realised P&L
$155.6k
Volume
$88.50M
Markets traded
1,054
Open portfolio
$252.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,054
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.985$73.8k+$36.3k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8030.984$62.3k+$11.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5440.935$51.5k+$21.5k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.964$28.9k+$4.6k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6000.935$15.3k+$5.5k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.4810.825$5.4k+$2.2k
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes0.4120.150$3.8k$6.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5210.145$3.3k$8.5k
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.085$3.0k$7.2k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3360.086$1.7k$5.1k
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.7000.935$1.2k+$303.70
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.015$1.2k$36.3k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3400.145$1.1k$1.5k
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.5710.000$0.00$2.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 19:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.001$59.62
05-26 19:39Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena FrechBUY0.59$834.05
05-26 19:35Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu WangBUY0.49$829.60
05-16 22:29UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)SELL0.001$0.07
05-16 22:29UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)SELL0.001$0.05
05-14 18:55Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.69$12.49
05-09 17:01UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.6$6.00
05-08 11:43Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$7.63
05-06 12:29Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.67$36.85
05-04 14:05Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$37.55
05-04 11:36Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$32.70
05-03 09:50Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.5275792786$21.79
05-02 21:05Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.58$65.17
05-02 08:20La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes TormoBUY0.68$5.6k
04-28 19:22Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.56$233.64