agdi
0xdb5546cf99fd3b53dcaba54690bad580c0b885af
- Realised P&L
- $-432.72
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $67.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.029 | $16.90 | −$111.10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.011 | $14.14 | −$105.86 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.049 | $12.13 | −$87.88 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.009 | $11.88 | −$63.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.015 | $6.03 | −$18.97 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.004 | $3.41 | −$8.59 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.059 | $1.53 | −$8.47 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.095 | $1.34 | −$8.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.47at 0.590Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
- +$2.50at 0.800Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
- +$2.35at 0.680Bitcoin all time high by September 30?
- +$1.52at 0.849Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.34at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 16:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0222967603 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 16:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $5.45 |
| 06-18 08:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999925 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 17:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $10.00 |
| 02-05 13:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $20.00 |
| 02-03 03:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0509999977 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 15:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 02-01 06:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1042653986 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $0.97 |
| 01-24 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $0.98 |
| 01-24 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $0.97 |
| 01-24 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-24 15:21 | AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | SELL | 0.02 | $0.22 |
| 01-24 10:40 | AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 01-24 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $2.72 |