PolyBot

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Traders

0xdb48dbd0b687ab83cf41e769605d62fdf0b170d8

0xdb48dbd0b687ab83cf41e769605d62fdf0b170d8

Realised P&L
$-24.52
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$2.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31? · Yes0.7700.890$1.16+$0.16
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3800.275$0.72−$0.28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1100.045$0.41−$0.59
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.041$0.17−$1.83
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.3400.017$0.10−$1.90
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28? · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.1690.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:16Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?BUY0.77$1.00
09-16 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00
09-16 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
09-16 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-16 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
09-16 13:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.999$3.44
09-16 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-16 13:45Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?SELL0.89$1.01
08-28 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?BUY0.379999962$3.00
08-27 13:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.25$2.00
08-21 14:22Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.5749997341$2.00
08-19 23:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.55$1.00
08-03 16:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?BUY0.0729999331$1.00
08-03 16:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-03 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.3899998479$1.00