jeffefefef
0xdb47822791a18b27ff7c2cd01969009b2503709d
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $20.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $16.50 | −$39.40 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.115 | $2.88 | −$16.13 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $1.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.720Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.380Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$723.99at 0.265Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$702.70at 0.740Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$639.16at 0.990US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 07:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179 | $100.06 |
| 06-25 01:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.75 |
| 06-25 00:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.154 | $1.39 |
| 06-25 00:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.152 | $4.26 |
| 06-25 00:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.152 | $16.26 |
| 06-24 16:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 06-24 16:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |