PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdaf4e3869c35ae9a7eadb75730ce744e360b603c

Realised P&L
$-8.81
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
702
Open portfolio
$61.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded702
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election? · No0.9980.998$5.26+$0.00
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$5.14$0.01
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? · No0.9990.998$5.13$0.01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.985$5.07$0.07
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.06$0.07
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.05$0.08
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026? · No0.9970.970$5.01$0.14
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$5.00$0.13
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.968$4.97$0.16
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$4.92$0.21
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.994$4.87$0.02
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$4.80$0.33
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.144$0.74$4.39
Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? · No0.9880.000$0.00$5.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00$5.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$4.90
09-18 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$4.89
09-17 23:58Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999996$4.89
09-17 21:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.999$4.89
09-17 20:57Solana Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ETBUY0.999$4.89
09-17 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.999$4.89
09-17 07:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.999$4.89
09-17 05:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ETBUY0.999$4.89
09-17 03:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.999$4.89
09-17 02:56BNB Up or Down - September 16, 10PM ETBUY0.999$4.89
09-17 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ETBUY0.996$4.89
09-16 10:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ETBUY0.99$5.14
09-16 05:57Solana Up or Down - September 16, 1AM ETBUY0.9709999951$5.13
09-16 04:56Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 12AM ETBUY0.99$5.13
09-16 03:57Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.998$5.13