PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

50DRE

0xdaf3fd565128b8161f87f037ad9b0be2c16c57f7

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$149.0k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$15.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31? · Yes0.1750.066$9.20−$15.26
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.1260.030$4.68−$14.98
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.5160.065$1.30−$9.01
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.047$0.67−$0.33
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$2.74
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.45
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.0920.000$0.00−$143.12
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00−$395.65
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00−$51.71
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$2.10
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$24.02
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00−$25.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 19:36Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.059$32.74
09-20 18:59Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.05$10.00
09-20 18:23Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.005$2.10
09-20 18:23Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?SELL0.04$2.07
09-20 15:05Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1149999997$30.00
09-20 14:59Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.004$1.00
09-20 14:59Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.001$1.00
09-20 14:59Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.001$1.00
09-20 14:58Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1001523467$20.00
09-20 14:58Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1099999999$20.00
09-20 12:30Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.13$69.83
09-20 12:30Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.13$9.25
09-19 14:56Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.003$1.00
09-10 10:29Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.009$1.21
09-10 10:29Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.03$2.33