50DRE
0xdaf3fd565128b8161f87f037ad9b0be2c16c57f7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $149.0k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $15.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.02at 0.219Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
- +$325.35at 0.258Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?
- +$303.52at 0.087Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?
- +$277.65at 0.364Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
- +$130.10at 0.200Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 19:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.059 | $32.74 |
| 09-20 18:59 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 18:23 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.10 |
| 09-20 18:23 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.07 |
| 09-20 15:05 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1149999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 14:59 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:59 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:59 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:58 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1001523467 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:58 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 12:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $69.83 |
| 09-20 12:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $9.25 |
| 09-19 14:56 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:29 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.21 |
| 09-10 10:29 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.33 |