PolyBot

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Traders

llbean

0xdaeb1eb83a0bfacabac7ee811805fa2b43c60d2f

Realised P&L
$69.74
Volume
$222.2k
Markets traded
7,500
Open portfolio
$351.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,500
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:33Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.35$1.75
09-17 05:18Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.32$1.60
09-17 00:48Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17?BUY0.3$1.50
09-16 21:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.26$1.30
09-16 15:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 16?SELL0.001$0.04
09-16 05:26Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 16?BUY0.83$4.15
09-15 19:43Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 16?BUY0.41$2.05
09-15 06:35Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 15?BUY0.27$1.35
09-14 20:19Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 14?SELL0.002$0.01
09-14 15:07Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 15?SELL0.001$0.04
09-14 12:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?BUY0.46$2.30
09-14 10:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 14?BUY0.52$2.60
09-14 05:48Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on September 14?BUY0.71$3.55
09-13 23:32Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?BUY0.66$3.30
09-13 18:48Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14?BUY0.39$1.95