llbean
0xdaeb1eb83a0bfacabac7ee811805fa2b43c60d2f
- Realised P&L
- $182.89
- Volume
- $136.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,451
- Open portfolio
- $278.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,451
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.23at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?
- +$38.02at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?
- +$36.83at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 1?
- +$35.60at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26?
- +$35.50at 0.211Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-04 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-04 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-04 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-04 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |