0xdAbF6d2F8b46dfaC8171A9b41804eA89fB2Cb6bA-1773145555316
0xdabf6d2f8b46dfac8171a9b41804ea89fb2cb6ba
- Realised P&L
- $-880.68
- Volume
- $81.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.135 | $1.6k | +$43.09 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.278 | $1.6k | +$160.69 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.015 | $331.76 | −$303.20 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.120 | $207.55 | +$2.24 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.029 | $101.61 | −$137.65 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.025 | $92.49 | −$157.51 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $60.50 | −$49.50 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$809.88at 0.094Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-10.00at 0.007Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
- +$-150.00at 0.240Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$-241.09at 0.029Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$-250.00at 0.150Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 15:48 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1 | $110.00 |
| 07-19 15:47 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.7298745572 | $929.25 |
| 07-06 14:25 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.1191994735 | $205.31 |
| 05-28 13:51 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY | 0.2209618172 | $250.00 |
| 04-04 22:46 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0145123277 | $15.00 |
| 03-29 14:00 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.2149999971 | $50.00 |
| 03-20 12:45 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.057 | $57.00 |
| 03-20 12:44 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0558276564 | $82.26 |
| 03-20 12:40 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.46 |
| 03-20 12:40 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0225790321 | $121.08 |
| 03-20 12:39 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.001 | $8.55 |
| 03-15 23:12 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | BUY | 0.24 | $150.00 |
| 03-15 23:09 | Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | BUY | 0.0072400942 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 15:50 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1029999991 | $100.00 |
| 03-11 15:49 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0937590895 | $119.37 |