previlabel
0xdaa4a8c890cc4b2dedfa663df1ba97c284a82d5c
- Realised P&L
- $-13.2k
- Volume
- $161.4k
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $224.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.873 | $213.24 | +$114.98 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.760 | $5.10 | +$1.68 |
| FC Pohang Steelers vs. Johor Darul Ta'zim: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.495 | $4.70 | −$0.52 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.255 | $1.41 | −$0.63 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No | 0.180 | 0.007 | $0.35 | −$8.65 |
| France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.22 |
| Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-07? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.11 |
| Will Union Espanola win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.42 |
| Will Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.365Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$2.1kat 0.305Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$2.0kat 0.389Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$891.76at 0.510Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-01?
- +$557.45at 0.630Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 08:33 | FC Pohang Steelers vs. Johor Darul Ta'zim: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5499999579 | $5.22 |
| 10-12 22:13 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.5399999505 | $3.71 |
| 10-12 17:50 | Will Malmo FF win on 2026-10-12? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.55 |
| 10-12 17:11 | Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 4 - 1 Halmstads BK? | BUY | 0.9379999958 | $7.21 |
| 10-12 16:56 | Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.6499999928 | $4.50 |
| 10-12 16:29 | Will Malmo FF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.5499999539 | $4.77 |
| 10-12 10:02 | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.30 |
| 10-12 09:41 | Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.65 |
| 10-11 19:49 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.69 |
| 10-11 18:39 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.50 |
| 10-11 18:37 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $4.50 |
| 10-07 23:48 | Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.3399999961 | $19.11 |
| 10-02 23:55 | Will São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.619999974 | $6.68 |
| 10-02 18:20 | France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6299999965 | $38.22 |
| 10-01 20:48 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.42 |