NMSL1
0xda92f306ca8ea3589da9210ff0da04771ffb1143
- Realised P&L
- $-7.66
- Volume
- $57.55
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.770 | 0.984 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.365 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.415 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.645 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.70at 0.744Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 10:38 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |