PolyBot

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Traders

0xda84f286f2a28b5f6b1ee37abb3f1728ec363d98

0xda84f286f2a28b5f6b1ee37abb3f1728ec363d98

Realised P&L
$-0.98
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$21.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3500.355$20.29+$0.29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.019$1.46−$3.54
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? · Yes0.0940.001$0.22−$20.76
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026? · No0.0580.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.0910.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$6.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$2.00
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$6.00
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.0550.000$0.00−$5.00
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:54Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3499999948$20.00
07-18 21:07President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.0549999902$5.00
07-18 21:07Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
07-13 19:38Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?BUY0.0938721653$20.99
07-06 20:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
06-18 11:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?SELL0.002$0.21
06-14 22:21Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?BUY0.008$2.00
06-14 22:12Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?BUY0.0078346881$1.00
06-14 22:12Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?BUY0.0097023186$0.65
06-14 22:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.768481715$24.38
06-12 10:42US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?SELL0.6$68.18
06-12 10:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
06-12 10:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1575817413$5.00
06-12 09:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.21$1.17
06-12 09:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.47$16.78