0xda84f286f2a28b5f6b1ee37abb3f1728ec363d98
0xda84f286f2a28b5f6b1ee37abb3f1728ec363d98
- Realised P&L
- $-0.98
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $21.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.00at 0.364US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
- +$39.50at 0.333US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$18.21at 0.164US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$10.19at 0.385Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
- +$8.48at 0.666US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 21:07 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0549999902 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:07 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 19:38 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | BUY | 0.0938721653 | $20.99 |
| 07-06 20:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 11:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 06-14 22:21 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 22:12 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? | BUY | 0.0078346881 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 22:12 | Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0097023186 | $0.65 |
| 06-14 22:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.768481715 | $24.38 |
| 06-12 10:42 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | SELL | 0.6 | $68.18 |
| 06-12 10:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 10:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1575817413 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 09:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.17 |
| 06-12 09:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $16.78 |