PolyBot

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Traders

xoua

0xda3f7aa664b2fbb9225b52d2eb8e3beff01bc282

Realised P&L
$-14.6k
Volume
$2.15M
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$41.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7790.775$15.5k$91.92
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8900.885$8.9k$49.98
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8850.925$5.6k+$238.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.6300.915$4.6k+$1.4k
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5510.695$3.6k+$738.22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? · No0.9500.976$3.2k+$83.82
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3000.055$550.00$2.5k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? · No0.3000.000$0.00$3.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.2280.000$0.00$25.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.7470.000$0.00$44.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 10:02Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9580876959$280.56
09-05 10:00Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.965$3.4k
09-05 06:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.2281822589$25.00
08-27 16:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?SELL0.43$11.02
08-27 08:43Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.799157169$7.5k
08-27 08:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.3839016777$9.84
07-16 16:28Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.8797928162$1.3k
07-16 16:28Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.85$109.26
05-16 18:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.63$151.19
05-15 20:15Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?BUY0.82$29.17
05-11 08:30Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.007$7.00
05-10 18:03Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.79$15.80
05-08 19:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8239266218$3.9k
05-08 19:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.4100365082$8.3k
05-08 19:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.55$110.00