0xda3F68cf4B4F185C9F62016460C6E53705c53f16-1786365419836
0xda3f68cf4b4f185c9f62016460c6e53705c53f16
- Realised P&L
- $-98.58
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $313.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.520 | $230.26 | +$43.26 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.192 | $83.51 | −$26.49 |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.61at 0.330Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-2.39at 0.074Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
- +$-5.31at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$-19.16at 0.029Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-64.37at 0.024Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:22 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.048408277 | $4.08 |
| 08-12 17:57 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2517482437 | $20.00 |
| 08-12 17:29 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.32 | $19.39 |
| 08-12 17:25 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2523663906 | $90.00 |
| 08-12 16:22 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 12:56 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0711429494 | $6.00 |
| 08-10 17:02 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4299999706 | $6.00 |
| 08-10 17:01 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.95 |
| 08-10 15:18 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4222837059 | $11.00 |
| 08-10 15:17 | Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $25.30 |
| 08-10 15:03 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0123266626 | $2.23 |
| 08-10 13:02 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0239999949 | $4.70 |
| 08-10 13:02 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4220412551 | $170.00 |
| 08-10 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 12:54 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |