comptobj
0xda37b6dd5c9ac16dc528c67bbe0ec1ca65de1d00
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $110.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.585 | $58.50 | −$27.50 |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.034 | $52.02 | −$147.98 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · Yes | 0.749 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.186Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$130.40at 0.609Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
- +$89.38at 0.690Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?
- +$9.01at 0.049Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
- +$-20.08at 0.216Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 18:37 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5995174843 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 10:19 | Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.9953408673 | $291.97 |
| 07-28 10:18 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $20.80 |
| 07-23 13:13 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 07-23 12:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.0516081083 | $209.01 |
| 07-23 11:56 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.2161704828 | $40.88 |
| 07-22 12:05 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 12:05 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.1276304127 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 10:58 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? | BUY | 0.748876685 | $200.00 |
| 07-21 11:58 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0493835829 | $200.00 |
| 07-20 16:27 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.056358501 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 16:07 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.3663855348 | $200.00 |
| 07-20 16:05 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199971669 | $200.00 |
| 07-20 14:58 | Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet? | BUY | 0.6817797803 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 09:59 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY | 0.0174757282 | $5.00 |