comptobj
0xda37b6dd5c9ac16dc528c67bbe0ec1ca65de1d00
- Realised P&L
- $92.40
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $282.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.185 | $148.04 | −$51.96 |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.235 | $134.42 | −$65.58 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.00 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · Yes | 0.749 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.186Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$130.40at 0.609Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
- +$89.38at 0.690Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?
- +$9.01at 0.049Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
- +$-20.08at 0.216Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:34 | Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.2499250225 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 08:31 | Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.3496489523 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 12:51 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3838115025 | $400.00 |
| 09-28 12:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5232392254 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 11:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 11:21 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 10:37 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0291835919 | $300.00 |
| 07-29 18:37 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5995174843 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 10:19 | Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.9953408673 | $291.97 |
| 07-28 10:18 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $20.80 |
| 07-23 13:13 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 07-23 12:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.0516081083 | $209.01 |
| 07-23 11:56 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.2161704828 | $40.88 |
| 07-22 12:05 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 12:05 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.1276304127 | $100.00 |