PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

comptobj

0xda37b6dd5c9ac16dc528c67bbe0ec1ca65de1d00

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$110.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · No0.8600.585$58.50$27.50
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes0.1290.034$52.02$147.98
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$100.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · Yes0.7490.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 18:37Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5995174843$200.00
07-28 10:19Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?SELL0.9953408673$291.97
07-28 10:18Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.11$20.80
07-23 13:13Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
07-23 12:48Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?SELL0.0516081083$209.01
07-23 11:56Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.2161704828$40.88
07-22 12:05Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
07-22 12:05Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?BUY0.1276304127$100.00
07-22 10:58Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?BUY0.748876685$200.00
07-21 11:58Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.0493835829$200.00
07-20 16:27Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.056358501$100.00
07-20 16:07Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.3663855348$200.00
07-20 16:05Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.1199971669$200.00
07-20 14:58Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?BUY0.6817797803$200.00
07-17 09:59Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.0174757282$5.00