PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xda26acbaab8dfa39bfc9527c50765e9f24cba0c0

Realised P&L
$-69.31
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$113.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2030.193$47.54$2.46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.675$28.60+$3.60
Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? · Yes0.4200.345$8.21$1.79
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.3201.000$6.68+$4.54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 18? · No0.6900.870$4.92+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? · No0.7400.920$4.00+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 18? · No0.7501.000$3.45+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.4600.515$3.29+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? · No0.6601.000$2.30+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · No0.7400.610$1.62$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? · No0.5700.625$1.58+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? · No0.7901.000$1.40+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? · No0.5660.001$0.00$5.29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 16? · Yes0.2760.000$0.00$8.65
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 17? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:48Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2029999998$50.00
09-17 12:58Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?SELL0.999$10.18
09-17 12:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?SELL0.999$30.50
09-17 06:25Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.459999915$1.19
09-17 06:25Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?BUY0.5699999525$1.44
09-17 06:24Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.459999979$1.75
09-17 06:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.32$2.14
09-17 06:06Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.75$2.59
09-17 06:02Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?SELL0.999$1.15
09-17 06:02Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?SELL0.999$2.12
09-17 06:02Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?SELL0.999$6.08
09-16 20:08Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.4499998525$1.22
09-16 20:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17?BUY0.6099999877$1.49
09-16 19:55Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?BUY0.5499998778$1.80
09-16 19:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.5299999322$2.19