0xda26acbaab8dfa39bfc9527c50765e9f24cba0c0
- Realised P&L
- $-69.31
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $113.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.83at 0.425Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
- +$10.92at 0.591Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 17?
- +$5.68at 0.813Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?
- +$4.33at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 16?
- +$4.07at 0.759Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:48 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2029999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.18 |
| 09-17 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.50 |
| 09-17 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.459999915 | $1.19 |
| 09-17 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5699999525 | $1.44 |
| 09-17 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.459999979 | $1.75 |
| 09-17 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.14 |
| 09-17 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.59 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.12 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.08 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.4499998525 | $1.22 |
| 09-16 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.6099999877 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.5499998778 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.5299999322 | $2.19 |