0xda1f389099cdd985339413abe2f1a824751f3879
- Realised P&L
- $-7.55
- Volume
- $59.43
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ferran Torres (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.225 | $2.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.205 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.021 | $0.16 | −$1.84 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.838Will France win on 2026-07-04?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 6?
- +$-1.04at 0.520Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$-5.13at 0.308Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 06:30 | Will Ferran Torres (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 06:30 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 06:29 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 08:01 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 07:58 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 20:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 20:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 20:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 20:14 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |