PolyBot

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Traders

0xda0f426005ad0c8ed453f4dde98c6ef49c772a19

0xda0f426005ad0c8ed453f4dde98c6ef49c772a19

Realised P&L
$74.62
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9520.978$1.6k+$42.04
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9160.962$446.72+$20.93
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8690.955$348.39+$31.30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.972$265.56+$14.16
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9800.980$251.24−$0.16
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.9350.975$221.71+$8.86
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9100.958$215.34+$10.84
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · No0.8750.855$170.99−$4.00
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.825$165.00+$23.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8860.978$162.56+$15.22
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.695$139.00+$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · No0.8130.795$119.25−$2.75
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9380.972$89.97+$3.07
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.930$82.66+$1.83
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8310.935$78.61+$8.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 21:35Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.356$1.78
10-09 21:28Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.89$4.45
10-09 21:27Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?BUY0.82$82.00
10-06 16:50Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.2619999927$1.00
10-03 23:15Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$142.00
10-03 23:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.62$124.00
09-25 03:47Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9569999904$1.00
09-21 16:51Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?BUY0.91$71.89
09-20 15:44Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.98$151.90
09-20 15:42Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?BUY0.95$28.50
09-20 15:41ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?BUY0.92$27.60
09-20 15:40Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?BUY0.67$6.70
09-20 15:39ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.92$18.40
09-20 15:39SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.81$24.30
09-20 15:38Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?BUY0.985$29.55