0xda0f426005ad0c8ed453f4dde98c6ef49c772a19
0xda0f426005ad0c8ed453f4dde98c6ef49c772a19
- Realised P&L
- $74.62
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.63at 0.594U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$18.30at 0.530Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$16.88at 0.775US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.40at 0.781US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$13.45at 0.838Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 21:35 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.356 | $1.78 |
| 10-09 21:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-09 21:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 10-06 16:50 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2619999927 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 23:15 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 10-03 23:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 09-25 03:47 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 16:51 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.91 | $71.89 |
| 09-20 15:44 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.98 | $151.90 |
| 09-20 15:42 | Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 09-20 15:41 | ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 09-20 15:40 | Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-20 15:39 | ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 09-20 15:39 | SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 09-20 15:38 | Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $29.55 |