FelicityBright
0xda0087a55847e7c61724f73e0fc4cffa56ab61b4
- Realised P&L
- $-15.6k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 2,424
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,424
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.90at 0.099Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$73.00at 0.270Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
- +$60.00at 0.400Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
- +$37.79at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?
- +$37.38at 0.215Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 16:58 | Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.064 | $2.17 |
| 10-04 16:55 | Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.889 | $234.70 |
| 10-04 16:42 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.882 | $58.44 |
| 10-04 16:10 | Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.924 | $38.57 |
| 10-04 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.0555634764 | $10.99 |
| 10-04 15:38 | Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.06 |
| 10-04 15:38 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.63 |
| 10-04 15:31 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.899 | $35.96 |
| 10-04 15:07 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $63.42 |
| 10-04 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $13.20 |
| 10-04 15:02 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | SELL | 0.781 | $7.81 |
| 10-04 14:57 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $146.74 |
| 10-04 14:52 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | SELL | 0.933 | $18.66 |
| 10-04 14:52 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | SELL | 0.861 | $25.83 |
| 10-04 14:49 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | SELL | 0.862 | $8.62 |