Better-better
0xd9ec87ee8b2c288b518fd85746841ca953b4da36
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $52.7k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $445.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.00at 0.548Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
- +$160.53at 0.1902024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$110.57at 0.350Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$74.15at 0.458US-China trade deal before June?
- +$59.62at 0.234Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:21 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.1237167878 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 17:19 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.3063096049 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 17:14 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 17:12 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1647129874 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 16:53 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.86 | $95.55 |
| 07-12 15:15 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 15:15 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 15:13 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 15:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4499999946 | $25.00 |
| 04-04 20:52 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2764503718 | $25.00 |
| 04-04 20:49 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5711618372 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 20:52 | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BUY | 0.5989999994 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 20:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.4059999941 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 20:07 | Penguins vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 12-24 04:28 | Will Trump be impeached in 2025? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |