PolyBot

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Traders

PeanutPeasent

0xd9e7c872bc25385a573ce06005d5599379215057

Realised P&L
$-74.44
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$60.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 08:16Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.349999965$6.00
08-21 08:16Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?SELL0.71$4.17
08-21 08:13Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4279999873$5.00
08-21 08:12Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0419999804$2.00
08-21 08:12Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0599999724$2.00
08-20 07:39Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?BUY0.1809523163$2.00
08-20 07:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.0194563885$1.00
08-20 07:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3069999754$5.00
04-18 14:17Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.06$3.00
04-18 10:06Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
04-16 21:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
04-16 21:56Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.289999985$11.00
03-15 05:24Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
03-15 05:21Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2739999364$3.00
03-15 05:20US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.3399999633$5.00