BamseOgKylling
0xd9e7c4534905e459ec75e9f5d828c58a12924cde
- Realised P&L
- $9.3k
- Volume
- $312.1k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $36.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.788Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?
- +$1.5kat 0.791Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$855.58at 0.719France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$844.05at 0.869Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$812.60at 0.869US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 09-17 06:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 15:06 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-15 15:06 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $242.00 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $370.00 |
| 09-15 14:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $396.40 |
| 09-14 19:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $188.65 |
| 09-13 18:46 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-13 09:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $497.00 |
| 09-13 09:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $395.00 |
| 09-13 09:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $522.00 |
| 09-05 08:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $151.50 |
| 09-05 08:10 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.983 | $491.50 |
| 09-05 08:06 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.79 | $553.00 |
| 08-28 14:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $380.00 |