PolyBot

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Traders

0xd9a0f143ffa107f0dda60713be9530d8fc878438

0xd9a0f143ffa107f0dda60713be9530d8fc878438

Realised P&L
$-13.43
Volume
$112.01
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$5.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? · Yes0.5300.715$1.35+$0.35
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? · No0.7900.988$1.25+$0.25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.8000.815$1.02+$0.02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.055$0.95−$8.74
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7500.615$0.82−$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 21:04Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-25 21:02Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-25 12:46Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.75$1.00
09-25 04:12Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-24 20:12Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-13 05:35Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.659999918$1.77
08-30 12:42Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6999999435$2.48
08-19 07:46Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.609999783$1.04
07-29 08:53Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-26 00:20Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5$2.55
07-25 00:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?BUY0.34$4.93
07-24 12:19Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?BUY0.8$1.62
07-23 00:18Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-22 12:15Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?BUY0.6$1.83
07-22 00:14Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?BUY0.5$1.53