PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dsfg213ds

0xd99c3a29a73ea11937ba4adba7a4e6fd84ad8490

Realised P&L
$-266.22
Volume
$50.0k
Markets traded
376
Open portfolio
$233.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded376
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? · No0.8791.000$50.00+$6.05
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.635$31.75+$4.75
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.635$31.75+$4.75
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.4100.235$23.50$17.50
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.380$19.00$5.50
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20$0.40
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.8700.780$15.60$1.80
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? · No0.8400.589$11.77$5.03
Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election? · Yes0.6100.560$8.45$0.75
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · Yes0.4600.325$6.50$2.70
Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? · Yes0.3100.185$3.70$2.50
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.185$3.70$10.50
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.135$2.70$0.30
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? · Yes0.5100.053$2.67$22.82
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.2000.100$2.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:18Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.65$13.00
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-12 22:07Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$16.60
09-10 03:54Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?SELL0.13$1.80
09-06 15:09Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$13.60
08-28 20:18Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?SELL0.56$11.20
08-27 22:56Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?SELL0.34$6.80
08-25 19:49Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.84$16.80
08-23 07:44Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.06$1.20
08-21 22:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
08-20 07:14Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.22$4.40
08-20 07:14Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.88$17.60
08-20 06:38Will Tuesday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?SELL0.09$1.26
08-19 20:06Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.34$0.64
08-19 14:38Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.83$16.60