PolyBot

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Traders

0xd99c32e54329a0f4aec1f8fdd92a3b00b8827193

0xd99c32e54329a0f4aec1f8fdd92a3b00b8827193

Realised P&L
$-10.93
Volume
$77.99
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$2.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? · Up0.6600.970$1.47+$0.47
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.7000.505$0.72−$0.28
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.055$0.23−$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 07:33S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-01 10:54Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-01 10:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-24 15:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-01 09:58Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?BUY0.7089999349$1.59
08-18 16:43Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799998996$1.59
08-17 20:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.5899999783$1.09
08-17 12:31Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.6799999487$1.59
08-17 04:10Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.2199999142$1.59
08-16 19:18Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8099999134$1.59
08-12 17:32Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?BUY0.64$1.59
08-12 09:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.2299999045$1.59
08-12 01:24Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?BUY0.7899999851$1.59
08-11 15:00S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?BUY0.6699999536$1.59
08-11 06:13SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?BUY0.3899998577$1.59