PolyBot

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Traders

fedelittu

0xd995fc244e3ebd6ce42f7044922ae83ded73fe67

Realised P&L
$262.77
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$562.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.5790.840$145.13+$45.13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8700.961$110.40+$10.40
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8190.925$93.72+$10.72
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7900.935$58.00+$8.99
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0960.082$25.75$4.25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0620.131$20.94+$10.94
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6750.639$18.95$1.05
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.5500.490$17.82$2.18
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.2870.099$17.22$32.78
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.575$13.07+$3.07
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.075$12.91$37.09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8200.865$10.55+$0.55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1750.080$4.54$5.46
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.006$3.25$1.75
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$3.24$6.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 17:18UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$55.51
08-13 17:17Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.9$58.09
08-11 07:45NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.0679999542$1.33
07-17 08:46Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6749999696$20.00
07-17 08:44Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.0955343511$30.00
06-22 05:58Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.1699999871$10.00
06-22 05:51US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.52$48.15
06-22 05:51Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.7899999934$100.00
06-22 05:50US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
06-09 08:41Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8$20.00
06-09 08:39Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.3399999633$5.00
05-25 07:37US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.82$82.00
05-02 09:28Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?BUY0.6459999973$14.66
05-02 09:21Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0869999847$5.00
05-02 09:18Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.8699999957$100.00