fedelittu
0xd995fc244e3ebd6ce42f7044922ae83ded73fe67
- Realised P&L
- $262.77
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $562.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$304.11at 0.505Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$59.83at 0.273Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
- +$44.34at 0.530US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$38.48at 0.723Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$30.00at 0.400US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 17:18 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $55.51 |
| 08-13 17:17 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $58.09 |
| 08-11 07:45 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.0679999542 | $1.33 |
| 07-17 08:46 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6749999696 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 08:44 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.0955343511 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 05:58 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 05:51 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $48.15 |
| 06-22 05:51 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999934 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 05:50 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 06-09 08:41 | Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 06-09 08:39 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 07:37 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 05-02 09:28 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | BUY | 0.6459999973 | $14.66 |
| 05-02 09:21 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0869999847 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 09:18 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999957 | $100.00 |