PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fedelittu

0xd995fc244e3ebd6ce42f7044922ae83ded73fe67

Realised P&L
$297.48
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$466.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8700.975$112.01+$12.01
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8190.972$98.43+$15.43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7900.955$59.24+$10.24
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.5790.875$37.80+$12.80
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6240.598$28.73−$1.27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0620.124$19.90+$9.90
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.5500.490$17.82−$2.18
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.095$16.35−$33.65
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.705$16.02+$6.02
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0960.048$14.92−$15.08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8200.925$11.28+$1.28
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.2870.057$9.91−$40.09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1750.123$7.06−$2.94
Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.0340.037$5.50+$0.50
Will Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.0240.018$3.69−$1.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 19:08Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5419999854$10.00
10-16 18:58Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.0341060698$5.00
10-16 18:58Will Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.0243950991$5.00
09-24 10:25US x Cuba military clash in 2026?SELL0.8305085661$107.62
08-13 17:18UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$55.51
08-13 17:17Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.9$58.09
08-11 07:45NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.0679999542$1.33
07-17 08:46Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6749999696$20.00
07-17 08:44Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.0955343511$30.00
06-22 05:58Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
06-22 05:51US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.52$48.15
06-22 05:51Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.7899999934$100.00
06-22 05:50US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
06-09 08:41Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8$20.00
06-09 08:39Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.3399999633$5.00