PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cornishon1

0xd990b1af3fe8b66a8f8511feb93fc49b6ac4749e

Realised P&L
$-257.30
Volume
$136.6k
Markets traded
497
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded497
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · No0.9890.949$285.71−$12.17
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.815$235.30+$41.86
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7500.780$147.07+$5.66
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No0.6700.550$137.73−$29.97
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.9450.944$113.81−$0.12
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9170.956$90.40+$3.72
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.5190.615$77.53+$12.13
Noble FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8600.820$52.34−$2.55
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · No0.9630.977$47.95+$0.66
Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7900.800$39.21+$0.49
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7400.620$38.97−$7.52
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2990.405$32.84+$8.60
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.2230.220$31.39−$0.39
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5960.430$29.14−$11.27
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No0.9410.927$25.85−$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 11:48Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.75$141.41
10-31 11:36Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.096$0.10
10-31 11:35Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.096$26.40
10-30 01:11Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0529999992$2.90
10-30 01:07Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.9449999996$113.85
10-30 01:03Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.7899999876$38.72
10-30 01:01Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.5699999877$13.86
10-30 01:00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0889999993$7.20
10-30 00:53Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.0954870517$14.10
10-29 07:32Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1799999981$13.00
10-28 18:43Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.55$18.70
10-28 00:50Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.9409999972$25.65
10-27 18:32Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$29.14
10-27 17:03Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$5.04
10-27 15:29Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?BUY0.12$8.40