cornishon1
0xd990b1af3fe8b66a8f8511feb93fc49b6ac4749e
- Realised P&L
- $-257.30
- Volume
- $136.6k
- Markets traded
- 497
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded497
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.08at 0.334Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
- +$51.68at 0.602Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.49at 0.654Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
- +$41.34at 0.300Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$40.49at 0.571Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 11:48 | Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $141.41 |
| 10-31 11:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.096 | $0.10 |
| 10-31 11:35 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.096 | $26.40 |
| 10-30 01:11 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0529999992 | $2.90 |
| 10-30 01:07 | Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.9449999996 | $113.85 |
| 10-30 01:03 | Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899999876 | $38.72 |
| 10-30 01:01 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5699999877 | $13.86 |
| 10-30 01:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0889999993 | $7.20 |
| 10-30 00:53 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0954870517 | $14.10 |
| 10-29 07:32 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799999981 | $13.00 |
| 10-28 18:43 | Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $18.70 |
| 10-28 00:50 | Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.9409999972 | $25.65 |
| 10-27 18:32 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $29.14 |
| 10-27 17:03 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.04 |
| 10-27 15:29 | Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East? | BUY | 0.12 | $8.40 |