PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

galvez

0xd98e794e6e88136b596539caae40ec8bf84589da

Realised P&L
$109.10
Volume
$46.3k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$486.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? · Yes0.1870.143$115.89−$35.10
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.2320.180$77.67−$22.33
Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.0060.031$52.61+$42.61
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2120.147$34.85−$15.15
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.300$33.33+$3.33
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · Yes0.2230.240$32.25+$2.25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3600.365$30.42+$0.42
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · No0.5060.393$23.27−$6.73
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.0510.039$22.78−$7.22
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.1800.056$21.71−$48.29
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0210.022$10.48+$0.48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2150.197$9.14−$0.86
Will Gilberto Mora play for Liverpool next? · Yes0.5580.188$6.74−$13.26
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4630.284$6.13−$3.87
Will Adriana Dávila Fernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.0040.003$4.73−$2.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 04:04Exact Score: CF América 3 - 1 CF Monterrey?BUY0.1309999998$10.00
10-11 03:31Will CF América win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-11 02:59Will CF América win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
10-11 01:41Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansSELL0.15$3.57
10-11 00:32Will Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?BUY0.269999993$10.00
10-11 00:24Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.4199999966$10.00
10-06 18:32Will Gilberto Mora play for Liverpool next?BUY0.5580093338$20.00
10-06 18:31Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Benin?BUY0.119999999$10.00
10-06 18:28Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4629999815$10.00
10-06 14:18Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3599999971$30.00
10-05 23:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.835$57.06
10-05 20:37Will Adriana Dávila Fernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?SELL0.0288108622$18.17
10-02 03:31Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-30 01:01Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.0462547435$10.00
09-29 05:28Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?BUY0.5059999962$30.00