PolyBot

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Traders

0xd94d19d420f468ca2f577abb95c88445854f0423

0xd94d19d420f468ca2f577abb95c88445854f0423

Realised P&L
$-0.47
Volume
$333.58
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$3.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No0.5050.728$1.44+$0.44
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · Yes0.5900.590$1.00+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No0.7800.625$0.80−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 03:47Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.5049997551$1.00
10-15 18:24Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-15 10:02Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-14 01:29Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-13 05:13Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-12 21:12Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-12 13:12Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-09 03:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:07Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3259999641$1.00
10-08 10:03Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2609999744$1.00
10-08 01:23Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-07 17:18Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
10-07 09:11Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-07 00:41Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7119999886$1.00
09-30 20:20Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00