0xd94d19d420f468ca2f577abb95c88445854f0423
0xd94d19d420f468ca2f577abb95c88445854f0423
- Realised P&L
- $-0.47
- Volume
- $333.58
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $3.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No | 0.505 | 0.728 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.590 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.625 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$4.04at 0.337Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.83at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$2.67at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 03:47 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.5049997551 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:24 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:02 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:29 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 05:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:12 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:12 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:07 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3259999641 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:03 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2609999744 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:18 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:11 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:41 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7119999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |