0xD94AEA9085C005c7c133e6e05b2c875b7b97fd21-1761480775140
0xd94aea9085c005c7c133e6e05b2c875b7b97fd21
- Realised P&L
- $444.61
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $141.46
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
- +$150.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?
- +$132.00at 0.590Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$128.00at 0.680Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$119.75at 0.810Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 08-15 07:54 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 08-15 07:54 | Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 08-14 13:12 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage | SELL | 0.59 | $8.85 |
| 08-14 13:11 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 08-09 09:20 | Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 07-19 19:26 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.395 | $31.60 |
| 07-15 06:24 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.384 | $38.40 |
| 07-15 06:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.54 | $140.40 |
| 06-26 07:12 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.207 | $4.14 |
| 05-28 06:18 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 05-01 10:51 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 04-25 19:35 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.869 | $69.52 |
| 04-18 20:45 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.119 | $3.81 |
| 04-16 14:18 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $252.00 |