PolyBot

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Traders

0xD94AEA9085C005c7c133e6e05b2c875b7b97fd21-1761480775140

0xd94aea9085c005c7c133e6e05b2c875b7b97fd21

Realised P&L
$444.61
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$141.46

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2000.180$36.00−$4.00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4800.625$31.25+$7.25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.615$30.75+$13.75
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8000.915$27.45+$3.45
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4300.645$12.90+$4.30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2070.155$3.11−$1.03
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$71.00
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Aurora0.4500.000$0.00−$8.10
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Team Yandex0.6200.000$0.00−$9.30
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.3950.000$0.00−$31.60
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner · Team Spirit0.3300.000$0.00−$9.90
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$14.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.76$152.00
08-15 07:54Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.33$9.90
08-15 07:54Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.74$7.40
08-14 13:12Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageSELL0.59$8.85
08-14 13:11Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageBUY0.6$9.00
08-09 09:20Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.48$14.40
07-19 19:26Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.395$31.60
07-15 06:24Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.384$38.40
07-15 06:24Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.54$140.40
06-26 07:12Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.207$4.14
05-28 06:18Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.48$24.00
05-01 10:51Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.10
04-25 19:35Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.869$69.52
04-18 20:45Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.119$3.81
04-16 14:18Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.84$252.00