PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LotusMessenger

0xd8e5f8bca4e878db7b5e8bfa1acb45a533c35295

Realised P&L
$2.96
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$652.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6010.595$327.25−$3.25
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · No0.6990.708$325.45+$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 11:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?BUY0.999$14.68
04-17 11:04Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?BUY0.999$12.36
04-05 08:54Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?BUY0.9986549106$14.47
04-03 09:56Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 3?BUY0.998$10.61
04-02 07:34Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 2?BUY0.999$12.09
04-01 07:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?BUY0.999$13.25
03-31 10:22Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?BUY0.999$11.11
03-30 09:03Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 30?BUY0.999$11.28
03-27 07:31Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 27?BUY0.999$14.25
03-26 06:49Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?BUY0.9969999361$12.10
03-25 08:50Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 25?BUY0.999$12.90
03-24 08:48Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on March 24?BUY0.999$12.00
03-19 11:04Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 19?BUY0.999$12.58
03-18 09:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?BUY0.9969999998$11.27
03-17 10:08Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 17?BUY0.996$14.19