kjgyugy
0xd8d5fb817942b990f4e529781e6599f099c58262
- Realised P&L
- $14.79
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $123.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $123.50 | −$47.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.09at 0.690Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
- +$4.20at 0.937US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.780Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- +$-28.00at 0.560Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 08:04 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $171.00 |
| 06-01 09:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $224.00 |