PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ArgentinaJamaica

0xd89536a70f7c97f8e7bc39da192938838e2e7004

Realised P&L
$-415.60
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$538.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.2240.245$317.09+$27.47
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.170$198.94+$46.81
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0320.052$11.21+$4.38
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0900.026$10.59$25.40
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$28.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$6.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 07:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7?BUY0.0704333093$2.93
06-03 06:52Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.2089833955$123.34
06-03 06:39Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.2048140653$80.96
05-13 12:09Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.07$13.93
05-03 14:18Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.11$22.05
04-24 07:35StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.2513462295$38.33
04-18 13:59Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.24$20.27
04-13 07:28Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.29$27.19
04-11 06:46Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.29$37.85
04-04 11:05Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY0.878$187.89
04-04 06:35StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.13$171.96
01-10 06:34Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.7295795656$361.46
01-09 14:15Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?BUY0.032$6.83
01-09 13:54Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.21$6.30
01-09 13:11Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.21$22.05