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0xd87785f0a09501c73d4aaa6898d015dcdde46bbc
- Realised P&L
- $8.89
- Volume
- $78.3k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $127.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $22.00 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $21.93 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.996 | $21.90 | +$0.01 |
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.970 | $12.61 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.615 | $12.30 | −$2.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.984 | $10.82 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.650 | $9.75 | −$3.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,000 | 0.890 | 0.700 | $8.40 | −$2.28 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.300 | $7.50 | −$4.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.06 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · No | 0.944 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.79at 0.275Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$5.15at 0.005Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.65at 0.690Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$4.42at 0.873Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 09:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $21.89 |
| 09-27 09:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.91 |
| 09-27 09:54 | Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $12.60 |
| 09-27 09:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $10.80 |
| 09-27 09:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 09-27 09:53 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $11.75 |
| 09-27 09:52 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 09-27 09:52 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | BUY | 0.89 | $10.68 |
| 09-27 09:50 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 06-06 17:55 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $44.91 |
| 06-06 17:55 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.84 |
| 06-06 17:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 06-06 17:53 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 06-06 17:53 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-15 07:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |